Big Data Realty

10/16/2026

🏡 An $8M San Francisco home just sold for $15 MILLION. What's going on with this market?

And that's not even the strangest number this week.

🏢 San Francisco office visits are up 12.2% year over year. Workers are coming back.

📊 Our analysis of six Bay Area communities reveals that repeatedly relisted homes can spend 300–400 days on the market, even when the listing shows just a few weeks.

🚪 And we've picked 9 San Francisco open houses for this weekend, October 17–18, including one property that raised its asking price by $245,000 in just 20 days.

All of this in our latest 5-minute BDR Weekly.

Real estate news, actual transaction data, and homes worth checking out. No hype, just the numbers behind the headlines.

🎥 Watch the full episode 👇
https://youtu.be/Rh61vr1pp9k

What's your take? Is San Francisco's housing market heating up again, or are sellers getting too optimistic?

San Francisco real estate news, housing market trends, and 9 open h...

10/11/2026

Parkside buyers are still competing hard.

In Q3 2026, all but one home sold above asking, and the typical house went under contract in just 13 days. Inventory is still tight, with only six homes for sale at the end of the quarter.

But timing matters. September through November historically give buyers the most choice and fewer rival bids, while December through February have produced the strongest results for sellers.

If you’re buying in Parkside, the list price is only part of the story. Recent sales, days on market, and seasonality matter more.

08/29/2026

They listed the San Francisco home at $1.5M.

The buyers stretched to $1.65M, a full $150K over asking. It felt aggressive.

Their estimated chance of winning? About 1 in 7.

At $1.8M, the odds rise to about 8 in 10, but now almost all of the potential savings are gone.

That’s the real trade-off in a bidding war. You’re not just choosing a price. You’re choosing how much you’re willing to pay for a better chance of winning.

The list price is an ad. The curve is the answer.

Would you bid higher or walk away?

08/26/2026

A San Francisco buyer can offer $150,000 over asking and still have only about a 1 in 7 chance of winning.

That sounds absurd until you understand what the asking price is actually doing.

Picture this. A home is listed at $1.5 million. You stretch and write $1.65 million. That is $150,000 over asking. It feels aggressive. Maybe even reckless.

Then Monday comes.

Twelve offers.

The house sells for $1.8 million.

You did not just lose. You lost by another $150,000 while thinking you had already made an extremely strong offer.

This is where many San Francisco buyers get trapped.

The list price often is not the market value. It is part of the marketing strategy. Price low, attract a crowd, create competition, then let buyers push each other higher.

So how much should you actually offer?

“Offer strong” is not an answer.

In our new video, we take a different approach. Instead of pretending there is one perfect number, we show the trade-off between how much you bid and your estimated chance of winning.

For one simple example:

$1.65M → about 1 in 7 chance
$1.72M → about 4 in 10
$1.78M → about 6 in 10
$1.80M → about 8 in 10

As the odds improve, something else disappears. Your margin.

That relationship can actually be drawn as a curve. Once you see it, bidding wars start looking very different.

The goal is not to win every house.

The goal is to know what you are trading away to improve your odds, then choose the point that makes sense for you.

And sometimes the smartest point on the curve is no offer at all.

If you are buying in San Francisco, this is one I would watch before writing your next offer.

🎥 Watch the full video:
https://youtu.be/oZDb3VjJc-M

Big Data Realty. We run the numbers. You make the call.

08/21/2026

Nearly half of Redwood City’s dated single-family parcels have been held for 20+ years. The real buyer decision may be visible condition vs hidden history.

08/09/2026

Watch the full video on our YouTube channel

07/23/2026

Glen Park real estate just hit 90% over asking in this market window, but the real story is more selective.

This San Francisco housing market update shows why Glen Park is rewarding accurate pricing and punishing wishful pricing in the same market. Fewer sellers are cutting price, not more, and the price cut rate fell to 5% from 13.9% across the baseline.

The market is strong, but not careless. Leverage exists, but it is earned early.

Watch the full Glen Park real estate update on the channel.

07/19/2026

Five-star realtor reviews can look impressive, but they do not always show who actually performs best for your deal.

Before choosing a real estate agent, check the data: sold homes, sale-to-list results, price cuts, days on market, and real local closings.

Choose your realtor on evidence, not noise.

Watch the full video on our YouTube channel

07/16/2026

How do you actually find the right real estate agent?

Not by choosing the person with the most stars, the biggest ad budget, or the fastest reply.

A better place to start is with real transactions: who has successfully handled properties like yours, in the same area, price range, and property type?

In our new video, we show how to build that shortlist yourself using public data.

Mountain View is the example, but the same method works in almost any market.

Video in the first comment.

California home sellers and buyers need a better way to choose a re...

07/13/2026

Noe Valley, San Francisco Has Only One Home for Sale

As of today, this community has exactly one active listing left.
1040 Sanchez Street, asking 2,950,000.
11 days on the market.
It is not stale. It is not overlooked.
It is the only test case this market has left to offer.

Watch the full video on our YouTube channel