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The Airbnb crash everyone predicted finally arrived, and it's making existing hosts richer.AirDNA released its 2026 Midy...
07/24/2026

The Airbnb crash everyone predicted finally arrived, and it's making existing hosts richer.

AirDNA released its 2026 Midyear Outlook on July 8, and the headline number is one nobody had on their bingo card:

🏚️ New short-term rental supply growth has collapsed to 2.7% this year. At the 2022 peak it was 22.3%. The pace of new listings is down almost 90% in four years.

Why? Mortgage rates. AirDNA expected lower borrowing costs to bring a wave of new hosts in 2026.

Instead, rates got pushed back above 6% and new STR investment stalled.

Here's what that did for everyone already in the game:

✔️ Occupancy is forecast at 57.4% this year, ABOVE the pre-pandemic average of 57.0%
✔️ Nightly rate growth accelerated from 0.7% in January to roughly 3% by spring
✔️ RevPAR (revenue per available rental) is on track to grow 2.9% in 2026

Travel demand didn't crash. It's growing 2.7%, exactly in line with supply. The market didn't bust.

The front door closed. Every existing short-term rental owner is now sitting behind a moat built out of 6%+ mortgage rates.

The same lock-in effect that froze the housing market is protecting incumbent hosts from competition.

Where the pricing power is showing up (RevPAR growth so far this year):

✔️ San Francisco: +12.1%
✔️ Anaheim: +11.0%
✔️ Philadelphia: +10.1%

All three are markets where supply tightened.

Meanwhile, AirDNA expects the fastest supply growth in small cities and rural markets, the only places where the cost of entry still pencils at today's rates.

A landlord in St. Clair County, Illinois earns 4.7x the rental yield of one in Silicon Valley. Same asset class. Same co...
07/20/2026

A landlord in St. Clair County, Illinois earns 4.7x the rental yield of one in Silicon Valley. Same asset class. Same country. Here's what the 2026 data actually says.

ATTOM recently analyzed the numbers from 416 U.S. counties, and the differences are shocking:

📈 Top of the market:
• St. Clair County, IL, 14.5% gross yield
• Mobile County, AL, 13.6%
• Peoria County, IL, 12.5%

📉 Bottom of the market:
• Santa Clara County, CA (Silicon Valley), 3.1%
• Williamson County, TN (Nashville suburbs), 3.3%
• Loudoun County, VA (DC suburbs), 3.6%

With the 30-year mortgage rate at 6.49% (Freddie Mac, July 9), that dashed line on the chart tells the whole story. If you buy in the wrong county using leverage, you’ll end up paying the bank more than the property makes you, before taxes, insurance, or any repairs.

And the pressure is increasing:

→ Rental yields fell in 54.8% of counties from 2025 to 2026
→ Even though rents outpaced home prices in 55% of those counties
→ The median existing home just reached $440,600 - a record high (NAR, June)

Read that again: rents are rising faster than prices in most of America, and yields are still getting squeezed. High acquisition costs are eating into the profits.

Three key points from someone who looks at this data every day:

Geography is now the biggest factor affecting returns. The gap between the best and worst counties (14.5% vs 3.1%) is larger than what most people expect to earn.

"Buy in your backyard" is flawed reasoning. If you live in a coastal metro area, your local market is likely struggling.

Cash flow is found in the Midwest and South. Markets that most individual investors can’t access easily unless they live there. This access issue is exactly why we created what we did.

The market isn’t saying real estate isn’t working. It’s highlighting that knowing where it works is more important than ever.

The brand new house going up down your street? There's a real chance it will never be for sale.Not this year. Not ever. ...
07/15/2026

The brand new house going up down your street? There's a real chance it will never be for sale.

Not this year. Not ever. A law that took effect Saturday guarantees you'll see more of them.

In the past 12 months, about 1 in 14 new single-family homes in America were built with no plan to list them. They were made to rent from day one.

Twenty years ago, fewer than 3 in 100 homes were built that way.

Here’s where it gets interesting.

The new federal housing law prohibits large institutional investors from buying most existing homes. I wrote about it yesterday. Many people interpreted it as Wall Street being pushed out of residential real estate.

They overlooked a key detail.

Homes built specifically as rentals are not included in the ban. The same goes for homes undergoing major renovations and homes that give tenants the chance to buy. Institutions can even continue trading homes among themselves.

So, the big funds aren’t leaving. They’re just changing direction. Build-to-rent has been their preferred strategy, and industry leaders now expect the law to speed up this shift.

In cities like Atlanta, where institutions own a much larger share of homes than the 3% national average, developers are already preparing for a build-to-rent trend.

Honestly, that might be the goal.

Every build-to-rent home increases housing supply instead of competing with families for existing homes. The law effectively directs institutional investors from purchasing homes to building them.

What does this mean for individual investors?

The resale market just got quieter at the top. Wealthy buyers are now legally guided toward new construction, which means less competition for the existing homes that individual investors have traditionally targeted.

At the same time, the fundamentals remain unchanged: mortgage rates are near 6.5%, and home price growth is forecasted to be just over 1% this year. With appreciation that slow, the smart move isn’t to buy and wait.

It’s to own properties that generate rental income while you hold them—the same approach the big funds are using for everything they build.

Sources: Bloomberg, Bisnow, Inman, U.S. Census Bureau, and the National Association of Home Builders, accessed July 14, 2026.

Four rental properties on Lofty just sold, delivering an average 31.86% realized return to investors 📈They didn't want t...
07/14/2026

Four rental properties on Lofty just sold, delivering an average 31.86% realized return to investors 📈

They didn't want to sell. They didn't want to refinance.

Two homeowners listed four single-family homes on Lofty, three in Dunedin, Florida and one in Lubbock, Texas, and sold fractional shares to investors around the world.

Investors bought equity in all four. Rent came in. Updates went out by email and in Discord.

Then investors voted to sell.

All four properties sold.

Investors got paid.

It was done.

This is the model working exactly as we designed it:

✔️ Owners unlock liquidity from their own real estate on their terms.

✔️ Investors buy direct ownership in individual homes - not a fund, not a REIT.

✔️ Everyone tracks performance, collects rent, votes on decisions, and exits when the property sells.

That is what Lofty was built for: a real estate exchange where owners can access liquidity, investors can own individual homes, and both sides can participate in transparent outcomes from funding to exit.

Need to quickly pull equity out of your rental without refinancing or selling the entire property?Lofty lets you unlock ...
07/13/2026

Need to quickly pull equity out of your rental without refinancing or selling the entire property?

Lofty lets you unlock liquidity by selling a portion of your equity to 40k+ investors for a 3% fee. No strings attached. $100M transacted to date.

Pull equity out of your rental: https://www.lofty.ai/list-your-property

We just crossed $100M in volume 🎉Building the world's first real estate exchange hasn't been easy, but it's been the mos...
07/10/2026

We just crossed $100M in volume 🎉

Building the world's first real estate exchange hasn't been easy, but it's been the most rewarding thing we've ever done.

Thank you to everyone who's supported us since day one. We're just getting started, and there's a lot more coming soon!

07/09/2026
Investors on Lofty just earned a 14.3% return in under 9 months by investing in $50 shares of a single-family home at 11...
07/06/2026

Investors on Lofty just earned a 14.3% return in under 9 months by investing in $50 shares of a single-family home at 11125 Lawnhaven Rd 📈

Here’s how it happened:

A tech founder needed cash.

He had equity tied up in his property, so he listed it on Lofty, the world’s first peer-to-peer decentralized real estate exchange.

He used it like a short-term loan against his own equity before selling the property completely.

That decision opened a door for investors:

1️⃣ The property launched September 22, 2025, at $50/share, with a 13% annual yield paid out to investors.

2️⃣ Most investors actually bought in at a discount, around $45/share.

3️⃣ When the property sold, those investors received an estimated 14.3% total return in under 9 months.

No bank.

No middleman.

No money locked up for years.

And here's the interesting part:

The funds never touch Lofty’s account.

When someone buys shares of a property, they get the shares and the seller receives the funds instantly.

Peer to peer.

The seller got quick cash.

The investors got real returns on real estate.

Everybody won.

This is the future of real estate.

Got tired of comparing real estate investing apps one at a time so we put 15 of them side by side.Fundrise, Arrived, Mog...
07/03/2026

Got tired of comparing real estate investing apps one at a time so we put 15 of them side by side.

Fundrise, Arrived, Mogul, Lofty, Groundfloor, Ark7, plus 9 more.

Fees, minimums, liquidity, 2026 returns, honest pros and cons.

free, no email gate: https://www.lofty.ai/compare

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66 W. Flagler Street
Miami, FL
33130

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