11/11/2026
Could the midterm elections mean lower mortgage rates? History gives us an interesting reason to keep an eye on what happens next.
The election is bringing us a divided government. That means the President and Congress won't be controlled by the same political party.
And here's what's interesting: in 4 of the last 5 midterm elections that led to divided government, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate was lower one year later.
Does that mean rates are guaranteed to fall this time? No.
Inflation, the economy, and the Federal Reserve still have a much bigger influence on where mortgage rates go. And the historical declines weren't all the same size.
But rates have edged down slightly over the past few weeks. So, it'll be interesting to see whether history repeats itself.
Want to know if this trend continues and what it could mean for your next move? Follow along for updates.