7steps2success

02/11/2026

It’s nearly Melbourne Cup time, but there’s a race of much greater significance to property investors – it’s this year’s Housing Market Cup.

You’ve studied the form, got some tips from mates at work and heard about a lucky few who really cleaned up, but will you be backing the winner of this year’s Housing Market Cup?

Here’s John Lindeman’s call of the big race.

And they’re off! Five Percent Deposit Guarantee has shot out of the gates like a bullet and is making every post a winner, but her jockey, First Home Buyer has no big race experience, and she is certain to fall back to the field soon.

Misguided Meddling on Property Tax Changes has missed the start completely and is being pulled out of the race. It’s a wonder the stewards have let him race at all, after his terrible recent form.

Analysis Paralysis can’t decide whether to try for a rails run, go around the outside, or wait for a gap to open and with all that indecision has slipped to the tail of the field.

Melbourne Housing Market is making steady progress, but he’s carrying a huge weight with his rider Rental Reforms, so anything could happen.

Long Term Growth is taking forever to get going and her jockey, Buy and Hold already seems content to just see the race out.

Here comes Renovator, moving up quickly to take the lead, but his jockey, Unexpected Problems looks like he’s been up all night. He’s obviously a sprinter, not a stayer.

What’s Housing Market Cycle up to? She’s going around in circles and not making any headway at all.

One of this year’s long shots, Massive Housing Shortage, is weaving her way through the field under the vigorous riding of her jockey, High Population Growth. Could this be a boil over?

They’re in the back straight and the oldest horse in the race, Downsizer has hit the lead. He’s done well in regional races like the Byron Bay Cup; he’s all cashed up and looks ready to win. The distance could be an issue though, as he tends to retire early.

As they round the home turn, here comes Timing the Market. Her jockey, Clever Investor has spotted an area where the capital growth is much better and taken the lead. She’s timed her run perfectly and easily wins the Housing Market Cup for 2026.

We hope your selections are winners.

21/10/2026

14/10/2026

Timing the turning point

When looking for areas with the best potential, we need to remove gut feel, emotion, hearsay and headlines from the equation. We can rely on the fact that property prices move according to the laws of supply and demand, and that price growth starts when demand begins to outpace supply.

The best time to buy is before prices start to shoot up, but where buyer demand is growing and the supply of properties on the market is declining.

The graph shows this turning point, which you can time by tracking sales (increasing) and listings (falling) in suburbs where price growth has yet to start.

24/09/2026

Top down or bottom up?

Some commonly used housing stats have an effect on entire markets, while others only measure local changes and it’s important to understand the difference.

Interest rates and consumer confidence are called “top down” indicators because they can change buying and selling trends for whole cities or even the entire country.

On the other hand, “bottom up” indicators such as sales, listings and time on market, measure potential performance in individual suburbs.

16/09/2026

Don’t miss this free event

This Saturday 19th Sept, property market analyst John Lindeman will be presenting at Rob Flux's New Rules of Property Summit. It's completely free if you'd like to come along. John will lay out the timing on the coming market boom, and how the pent up buyer demand behind it fires like a slingshot.

The New Rules of Property Summit
Saturday 19th and Sunday 20th September
9:00 AM to 4:00 PM AEST both days

Free, online via Zoom
It's live only, so there's no recording afterwards.

The rules of Australian property have changed - and developers are the big winners. Join Rob Flux for a free 2-day online property development workshop.

09/09/2026

I coined the term “slingshot effect” several years ago to illustrate how downturns occur even when there’s an underlying shortage of properties. This is when astute buyers snap up the bargains until they’re all gone, and buyers then have to compete for higher-priced properties. Fear of missing out draws in hesitant investors, and median prices shoot upward rapidly like a released slingshot.

This is one of those times, with pent-up demand growing as the slingshot is being pulled further and further back.

Not only is now the right time to act, it’s also the best time, while buyer demand still remains subdued and bargains abound, but it won’t last much longer.

John Lindeman’s Cheapies Set to Boom Report, September 2026 issue covers all States and Territories, plus New Zealand. Out now!

John Lindeman’s Cheapies Set to Boom ReportSeptember 2026 issue now available!Authored by leading property market expert, John Lindeman, this report reveals Australasia’s most affordable suburbs set to benefit from the slingshot effect, delivering strong price growth potential. “I coined the t...

24/08/2026

Property tenure in Australia

Did you know that only one quarter of residential property is investor owned? Most properties are owned or being purchased by their occupiers, who seek security and lifestyle rather than rental yields, cash flow or capital growth. This is one of the unique benefits of property as an investment – most buyers are not in it to win it, but to live in it. This is what gives property less volatility and greater stability compared to other forms of investment, such as shares, commercial or crypto.

16/08/2026

A common renovation trap

Manufacturing growth through renovation seems an easy three step process: Buy the right property, do the right reno and then sell for the best price.

But the most common trap is not allowing for possible market driven price falls during your hold period, because they can wipe out your expected profit.

13/08/2026

Here’s my August update on the Australian housing market. I explain why falling housing prices will propel the Federal Government and the banks into action to stop the decline and I even predict that another property market boom could occur in the near future.

30/06/2026

Click here to find out more about our latest Winning Fix and Flip Suburbs report: https://lindemanreports.com.au/winning-fix-and-flip-suburbs/