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Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Over The WeekendIt was an uneventful day for mortgage rates, which is just the sort of thing ...
10/26/2026

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady Over The WeekendIt was an uneventful day for mortgage rates, which is just the sort of thing you want to see when the average lender is just a hair above the lowest levels in more than a month. There were no significant economic reports or other market developments that caused any major volatility for rates/bonds. The dominant theme, of late, has been investor rotation out of AI-related assets and into the bond market. Excess demand for bonds is good for rates, all else equal. But there's a nuance. Corporate bonds related to certain tech companies have seen sharply lower demand. That's actually been good for mortgage rates and Treasuries because the tech-related corporate bonds had been drawing demand away from the safer mortgage/Treasury debt. Today's ground-holding is all the more encouraging considering there was some healing in the tech sector, both in terms of stock prices and corporate bond demand. Simply put, mortgage rates held steady despite slight headwinds elsewhere in the market.

It was an uneventful day for mortgage rates, which is just the sort of thing you want to see when the average lender is just a hair above the lowest levels in more than a month. There were no significant economic reports or other market developments that caused any major volatility for rates/bonds.....

Another Nice Drop For Rates, Now Near 1-Month LowsInterest rates continue taking cues from the market rethinking the pac...
10/22/2026

Another Nice Drop For Rates, Now Near 1-Month LowsInterest rates continue taking cues from the market rethinking the pace of AI-related growth/spending. Last week's focus was on Coreweave and a few other companies who saw their cost of financing rapidly increase--a sign that investors were starting to worry about future return of capital. One remedy for such worries is to shift money into the safest parts of the bond market such as US Treasuries and mortgage-backed bonds. As demand for those bonds increases, rates fall. Today was a sharper, broader continuation of the same theme. Disappointing earnings calls and guidance for several big names resulted in heavy selling of tech stocks in addition to ongoing spikes in financing costs for Coreweave and other higher-risk names. In the simplest terms: tech is tanking and bonds are picking up the slack. The average top-tier 30yr fixed rate fell 0.10 today to 7.30%. This is the lowest since September 23rd when it was 7.26%.

Interest rates continue taking cues from the market rethinking the pace of AI-related growth/spending. Last week's focus was on Coreweave and a few other companies who saw their cost of financing rapidly increase--a sign that investors were starting to worry about future return of capital. One r...

Mortgage Rates End Flat After Starting Slightly LowerIt was another ho-hum day for mortgage rates, which is more of the ...
10/21/2026

Mortgage Rates End Flat After Starting Slightly LowerIt was another ho-hum day for mortgage rates, which is more of the exception than the rule these days. But we're not complaining! The uneventful, sideways movement means rates are holding in line with the lowest levels in nearly a month. Today would have been slightly lower than yesterday had it not been for some mid-day weakness in the underlying bond market. While there were a few war-related headlines that coincided with the timing, the volatility is more attributable to esoteric trader positioning considerations in the Treasury options market.

It was another ho-hum day for mortgage rates, which is more of the exception than the rule these days. But we're not complaining! The uneventful, sideways movement means rates are holding in line with the lowest levels in nearly a month. Today would have been slightly lower than yesterday had it...

Mortgage Rates Start Week HigherMortgage rates were moderately higher to start the new week, adding to the modest losses...
10/19/2026

Mortgage Rates Start Week HigherMortgage rates were moderately higher to start the new week, adding to the modest losses seen on Friday. The silver lining is that any of the past 3 business days saw the lowest rates since September 23rd. There were no clear reasons for today's rate movement in terms of economic reports or news headlines. The same was true for last week's biggest swings which were driven by broad bond market sentiment as traders sought safer havens due to concerns about a pull-back in the tech sector. On that note, tech stocks had their best day in several weeks today with much of the improvement already intact by the time the domestic trading session began. As the week progresses, that same "broad market sentiment" could continue to be a driving force because there aren't any big ticket events on the economic calendar. In nuts and bolts terms, the average top tier 30yr fixed rate is back up to 7.43%, 0.06% higher than Friday's latest levels and 0.10% higher than Thursday's low of 7.33. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]

Mortgage rates were moderately higher to start the new week, adding to the modest losses seen on Friday. The silver lining is that any of the past 3 business days saw the lowest rates since September 23rd. There were no clear reasons for today's rate movement in terms of economic reports or news...

Another Big Improvement to Another 3 Week LowMortgage rates dropped again today, and at a much faster pace than yesterda...
10/15/2026

Another Big Improvement to Another 3 Week LowMortgage rates dropped again today, and at a much faster pace than yesterday's decline. Top tier 30yr fixed rates are now down to 7.33% for the average lender, a drop of more than 0.25% from the long-term highs seen just last week. There are a lot of moving parts behind the scenes so let's focus on what we can know or at least reasonably conclude. [thirtyyearmortgagerates] Is this the big shift in rates we've been waiting for? The kind that sometimes follows sustained spikes to long-term highs? While there's a chance the past 5 days COULD serve as the early indication of a broader rate recovery, it's far too soon to bank on it. The key reason is that much of the paradoxical strength of the past 2 days has been fueled by contagion concerns in the tech space. What does the tech space have to do with rates? Is it more important than inflation and economic growth? First off, the tech space and economic growth have a ton of overlap right now. If there's an ongoing pull-back in investor sentiment surrounding AI/tech stocks, and additional concern over certain companies (like Coreweave) having a contagion-like impact on other companies, all of that carries implications for economic data in the future. The other consideration is AI-related corporate debt. This has been a big driver of upward pressure in rates at times. If investor sentiment is souring on AI-related debt, it decreases the expectations for excess issuance of that debt which, in turn, helps more mainstream rates like Treasuries and mortgages.

Mortgage rates dropped again today, and at a much faster pace than yesterday's decline. Top tier 30yr fixed rates are now down to 7.33% for the average lender, a drop of more than 0.25% from the long-term highs seen just last week. There are a lot of moving parts behind the scenes so let's f...

Epic Round Trip as Rates Launch Higher Only to End LowerYou won't see too many days like today when it comes to mortgage...
10/14/2026

Epic Round Trip as Rates Launch Higher Only to End LowerYou won't see too many days like today when it comes to mortgage rates and the underlying bond market that drives them. Bonds were eagerly awaiting this morning's Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation report and an important source of guidance for the Fed rate outlook. Reminder: while the Fed Funds Rate itself does not control mortgage rates, Fed rate EXPECTATIONS tend to correlate much better. Fed rate expectations leapt higher this morning after inflation came in hotter than expected. The rest of the interest rate world followed in lock step. When lenders released their initial mortgage rates this morning, the daily average 30yr fixed was up 0.1% from yesterday--a very big move for a single day. But roughly half an hour later, the bond market began gradually moving back in the other direction. The recovery continued at a remarkably steady pace (not the sort of linear pace normally seen on days with sharp reactions to important economic data). The only other thing happening in a similarly linear fashion was the HEAVY selling in stocks. I'd be the first to point out that it's generally a mistake to assume that a certain development in the stock market reliably predicts an outcome in the bond market. That correlation can be positive or negative depending on the day and the underlying motivations. In today's case, there were solid examples of both positive and negative correlation. Immediately following the inflation data, stocks and bonds lost ground in unison. We'd reconcile that by saying higher Fed rate expectations spell bad news for both. But then the stock selling continued--ultimately progressing toward the worst day of losses in over 2 months.

You won't see too many days like today when it comes to mortgage rates and the underlying bond market that drives them. Bonds were eagerly awaiting this morning's Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation report and an important source of guidance for the Fed rate outlook.  Remind...

Mortgage Rates Inch to Another 2-Week LowIt was an uneventfully good day for mortgage rates. Unlike the average day over...
10/13/2026

Mortgage Rates Inch to Another 2-Week LowIt was an uneventfully good day for mortgage rates. Unlike the average day over the past several weeks, there was minimal intraday volatility in the underlying bond market. This allowed the average lender to issue rates once this morning and avoid intraday rate changes. Fortunately, the overnight market movement was in our favor today as traders continued finding value in recently higher bond yields. Rates are based on the bond market where higher yields increasingly create demand among investors. In 2023, when the 10yr Treasury yield hit 5%, we saw a solid show of support from buyers. In 2026, we've been waiting to see a similar show of support as yields crested 5.3%. Last week brought the first potential evidence of such support. This doesn't mean rates are out of the woods, however. Tomorrow brings important inflation data and inflation is a key consideration for bond investors. If inflation comes in higher than expected, yields/rates could move back up toward recent highs. But if it's lower than expected, it could reinforce the supportive undertones seen over the past several trading days and help the downward momentum in rates continue.

It was an uneventfully good day for mortgage rates. Unlike the average day over the past several weeks, there was minimal intraday volatility in the underlying bond market. This allowed the average lender to issue rates once this morning and avoid intraday rate changes.  Fortunately, the ov...

Mortgage Rates Officially at 2 Week LowsEven though the underlying bond market is in slightly weaker shape today, mortga...
10/09/2026

Mortgage Rates Officially at 2 Week LowsEven though the underlying bond market is in slightly weaker shape today, mortgage rates ended up trickling just a bit lower than yesterday's latest levels. This can happen on occasions when there is a strong rally late in the previous day. Mortgage lenders don't end up passing along all of that improvement in rate sheets and some of them decide to wait for the following day to make the adjustments. In addition, this morning's slightly weaker bond market performance reversed course around 11am and paved the way for multiple lenders to adjust their rates lower over the past few hours. The net effect is a move down to 7.48% for the average to-tier 30yr fixed rate, just barely edging out the 7.49% seen on the morning of October 2nd to claim the lowest spot since September 25th. Bears/pessimists will be quick to note that this is still massively higher than we were at the end of august when rates were 6.75%. Nonetheless, it's the strongest counterattack we've seen since then. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]

Even though the underlying bond market is in slightly weaker shape today, mortgage rates ended up trickling just a bit lower than yesterday's latest levels. This can happen on occasions when there is a strong rally late in the previous day. Mortgage lenders don't end up passing along all of....

Mortgage Rates Started Much Higher But Almost Fully RecoveredIt was an exciting day for mortgage rates, and while we tec...
10/07/2026

Mortgage Rates Started Much Higher But Almost Fully RecoveredIt was an exciting day for mortgage rates, and while we technically ended up slightly higher, it could have been much worse. In fact, it WAS much worse earlier in the day, but only for about 30 minutes. Our daily rate index can be updated throughout the day if mortgage lenders change their rates in sufficient numbers. If we reported only the day's opening rate sheets, top-tier 30yr fixed rates would have been over 7.7%. Almost immediately after those initial rates came out (around 9:30am ET), the bond market started to recover. By 11am, multiple lenders had already improved. There was an additional round of improvement in the afternoon with almost every lender dropping their rates at least once (many of them more than once) by the end of the day. The net effect: today's average top-tier 30yr fixed rate rose only 0.03% versus yesterday to 7.59%--safely under recent highs.

It was an exciting day for mortgage rates, and while we technically ended up slightly higher, it could have been much worse. In fact, it WAS much worse earlier in the day, but only for about 30 minutes.  Our daily rate index can be updated throughout the day if mortgage lenders change their...

Mortgage Rates Near 1-Week LowsMortgage rates actually fell today--something they've done only 7 times since August 25th...
10/06/2026

Mortgage Rates Near 1-Week LowsMortgage rates actually fell today--something they've done only 7 times since August 25th. While the outright levels remain near the highest since 2003, they're near the lowest in just over a week with top-tier 30yr fixed rates down to 7.56% for the average lender. What gives? Is this a sign that recent upward momentum is starting to wane? It's too soon to conclude such things, but it is somewhat encouraging that yesterday's long-term high was basically right in line with the high seen on September 30th (7.61 vs 7.60). This is the sort of "double top" behavior that some analysts look for when trying to identify momentum shifts. Bottom line: it's too soon to start celebrating. But it's better than the average day of late. [thirtyyearmortgagerates]

Mortgage rates actually fell today--something they've done only 7 times since August 25th. While the outright levels remain near the highest since 2003, they're near the lowest in just over a week with top-tier 30yr fixed rates down to 7.56% for the average lender. What gives? Is this a sign...

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