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WASHINGTON (National Association of Realtors) – Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington is among ten markets that the National Assoc...
12/15/2019
NAR Identifies 10 Markets Expected to Outperform Over the Next Three to Five Years

WASHINGTON (National Association of Realtors) – Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington is among ten markets that the National Association of Realtors (NAR) expects will perform well over the next three to five years.

Strong job growth is one factor driving up prices in these markets, with payroll employment rising nearly 3 percent annually in the last three years in Dallas, higher than the national rate of 1.6 percent.

"Some markets are clearly positioned for exceptional longer-term performance due to their relative housing affordability combined with solid local economic expansion," said NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun. "Drawing new residents from other states will also further stimulate housing demand in these markets, but this will create upward price pressures as well, especially if demand is not met by increasing supply."​​​

Movers flock to these markets at higher rates than the average of the 100 largest U.S. metro areas.​ According to the report, nearly 1.1 million people recently moved to the DFW area. The majority of domestic​ movers are from the Houston-area.

One quarter of recent movers are homeowners, with the rest renting. Over half of recent movers who are renters can afford to buy a typical local home.

The median value of Dallas homes purchased by recent movers is $289,700. The city's median income is $57,900, and the median age is 29.

Other cities in the top ten markets, in alphabetical order, are:
​​Charleston, S.C.;
Charlotte, N.C.;
​Colorado Springs, Colo.;
Columbus, Ohio;
Fort Collins, Colo.;
Las Vegas;
​Ogden, Utah;
Raleigh-Durham-Chapel Hill, N.C.; and
Tampa-St. Petersburg​, Fla. ​

https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-identifies-10-markets-expected-to-outperform-over-the-next-three-to-five-years

Some markets are clearly positioned for exceptional longer-term performance due to their relative housing affordability combined with solid local economic expansion.

Ten signs of a recession you can't ignore - by David CampbellA recession is a business cycle contraction lasting for at ...
09/02/2019
Turnkey Real Estate Investment Estate Investments

Ten signs of a recession you can't ignore - by David Campbell

A recession is a business cycle contraction lasting for at least six months where there is a drop in the following five economic indicators:

1) gross domestic product (GDP)
2) income
3) employment
4) manufacturing
5) retail sales

The news will say a recession is when GDP is negative for two or more consecutive quarters. However, changes in GDP don't mean much to mom and pop investors. Changes in income and employment are things that American families will feel first hand.

The reason to pay attention to expansions and contractions in the economy is so you can anticipate how the broader economy will influence individual business and financial decisions.

Thriving during a recession isn't as complicated as you might think.

If you know there is an approaching period where there will be fewer jobs, plan to be an employer rather than an employee. During the great recession of 2008, I started a major home building company. It was easy to hire and retain talented people because no one else was hiring. Wages were relatively low, and people were thrilled to have any employment. The 2008 - 2010 recession helped me launch a company that I could not have started during today's economic boom. As the economy expanded, the demand for talented workers caused wages to rise, and the availability of skilled workers to shrink. In 2016 I sold my home building companies. Today it is easy to sell a new home, but because of the shortage of skilled labor, it is nearly impossible to build at a price that makes economic sense.

If you know there is an approaching period where there will be fewer retail sales, plan to be a buyer rather than a seller. I've delayed discretionary purchases such as remodeling, buying new vehicles, etc. because these things will be less expensive during a recession. Many types of investments will be on sale during the upcoming recession. One reason you've seen fewer newsletters from me since 2016, is that I've been patiently waiting for this seller's market to end. When we are solidly in a buyer's market again, I look forward to helping you build a massive portfolio of bargain properties.

If you know there is an approaching period where wages will be lower, plan to sell things to people who have lower incomes. During the last recession, I scooped up housing that rented to lower-income families and retail stores (Dollar General, Family Dollar, and Dollar Tree) that cater to consumers on a tight budget. As the economy expanded, I sold those assets and moved the cash into mortgage paper.

If you know there is an approaching period where manufacturing will slow down, get out out of investments that are dependent manufacturing. If you own property where the local economy lives and dies by the success of a manufacturer, this is probably a good time to sell and reposition that capital sooner than later. Now probably isn't a good time to invest in things that involve the distribution or extraction of anything used in manufacturing.

In my next newsletter, I'll talk about what some of the following leading indicators of recession mean to me:

(1) The recent inverted yield curve in the bond market says investors think interest rates will be headed significantly lower within the next two years to stave off a recession.
(2) A recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve means that saving our economy from depression is more critical to government policy than inflation.
(3) President Trump has been pressuring the Federal Reserve to drastically lower interest rates to stave off a recession. A recession in the next 16 months would be very bad for President Trumps' 2020 re-election prospects.
(4) A spike in Google searches for the term "Recession" means this topic is heavy on people's minds.
(5) The most current reports for GDP growth show the second slowest rate of growth in the last ten quarters
(6) S&P 500 earnings per share estimates have been revised drastically lower.
(7) The Purchasing Managers Index shows US manufacture growth is at the lowest level since 2009.
(8) The price of copper dropped 13% in the past six months, presumably from a lack of demand from the construction industry.
(9) The price of gold has skyrocketed 20% since May as a perceived safe haven during periods of economic turmoil.
(10) The Global Economic Policy Uncertainty Index designed to measure policy-related worries around the world hit the all-time highest level in June.

If you learned something from this article, I'm sure you know someone who would benefit from this information as well. It would be an excellent way to pay it forward if you would forward this email to the people in your life you think would most benefit. It's time to grow our investor networks so we can mutually benefit from collective purchasing power in the upcoming buyer's market.

If you are one of those people that received this email from a friend, I encourage you to sign up for my FREE newsletter at www.HassleFreeCashflowInvesting.com.

You won't want to miss a single email in this series of articles about the upcoming recession and how to profit from it. I don't sell anything in my newsletters except for occasionally inviting you to invest in the same type of opportunities I invest in as a professional investor.

If you missed my August 25th newsletter "how to profit from the coming recession," you might want to look back through your inbox for it. There were some juicy action items for you to consider.

To your success!

David Campbell

If you enjoyed this article, you might also enjoy the similar CNBC article posted below.

Turnkey Real Estate Investment Opportunities

10 Hottest Housing Markets Aren’t Where You’d ExpectBig metro cities like San Francisco, New York, and Los Angeles are n...
08/29/2019
The 10 Hottest ZIP Codes of 2019 Are Looking Small

10 Hottest Housing Markets Aren’t Where You’d Expect

Big metro cities like San Francisco, New York, and Los Angeles are notably absent from realtor.com®’s latest list of the top-performing housing markets in the country. Instead, more suburban areas—like Grand Rapids, Mich., and Omaha, Neb.–are topping the list.

Housing affordability has been fueling demand in smaller, more suburban housing markets, realtor.com®’s 2019 hottest ZIP codes report notes. The average home price of $272,000 in the hottest ZIPs is well below the current national median of $316,000. Five ZIP codes on this month’s list made their debut, and researchers say it’s likely due to their low home prices and driven by millennial home buyers.

Homes in this year top 10 list are selling, on average, in 17 days—40 days faster than in the rest of the country. Also, visitors to realtor.com® are viewing these markets three times as much as the rest of the country.

Buyers are being priced out of larger cities, realtor.com® notes in the report. “Even though buyers are moving to smaller markets, they are looking to retain an urban lifestyle by living closer to the city center,” says Danielle Hale, realtor.com®’s chief economist. “This tells us that today’s home buyers are trying to have it all—proximity to downtown, room to grow, and affordability—and they’re finding it outside of the biggest cities in the U.S.”

SEE THE LIST AT https://magazine.realtor/daily-news/2019/08/01/the-10-hottest-zip-codes-of-2019-are-looking-small

Home buyers are searching for affordability and they’re shying away from some long-favored big cities.

Markets where foreclosures are rising...ATTOM Data Solutions reports that In the first six months of 2019, foreclosures ...
08/28/2019
296,458 U.S. Properties With Foreclosure Filings in First Six Months of 2019, Down 18 Percent From A Year Ago | ATTOM Data Solutions

Markets where foreclosures are rising...

ATTOM Data Solutions reports that In the first six months of 2019, foreclosures nationally were down 18% from the same period a year ago and down 82% from their peak in the first six months of 2010. But a handful of markets are bucking the trend.
Thirty-six of 220 of the largest metro areas have posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure activity in the first six months of this year, according to ATTOM Data Solution’s 2019 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report. Some of those markets seeing an uptick include Buffalo, N.Y. (up 33%); Orlando, Fla. (up 32%); Jacksonville, Fla. (up 18%); Miami, Fla. (up 7%); and Tampa-St. Petersburg, Fla. (up 5%).
States with the highest foreclosure rates in the first half of 2019 were New Jersey (0.54 percent); Delaware (0.46 percent); Maryland (0.43 percent); Florida (0.39 percent); and Illinois (0.38 percent).
Other states with first-half 2019 foreclosure rates among the 10 highest nationwide were South Carolina (0.33 percent); Connecticut (0.32 percent); Ohio (0.30 percent); Nevada (0.26 percent); and New Mexico (0.26 percent).

https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/mid-year-q2-2019-foreclosure-market-report/

ATTOM Data Solutions' Midyear 2019 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report shows there were a total of 296,458 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings in the first six months of 2019.

If you're an investor, I encourage you to read my latest article: "how to profit from the coming recession."  https://ud...
08/28/2019
How to Profit From The Coming Recession

If you're an investor, I encourage you to read my latest article: "how to profit from the coming recession."
https://udirectira.com/how-to-profit-from-the-coming-recession/

by Guest Contributor, Professional Investor David Campbell, founder of Hassle-Free Cashflow Investing As a professional investor with over a billion dollars of transactional experience, I believe a recession is looming, and in this email, I’m going to show you how to profit from it. Recession and ...

Fixer-upper or move-in ready home? Which one really costs moreIf you think buying a fixer-upper house is going to save y...
08/27/2019
Fixer-upper or move-in ready home? Which one really costs more

Fixer-upper or move-in ready home? Which one really costs more

If you think buying a fixer-upper house is going to save you money, think again, one survey says.

Porch.com recently published a survey on turnkey homes versus fixer-uppers and found that even when fixer-upper homeowners stay within their budget, they end up spending about as much as homeowners who purchased a move-in ready house, on average.

On average, people who purchased a move-in ready home spent about $250,496, while fixer-upper buyers within their budget ended up spending about $246,891 in total.
Meanwhile, fixer-upper homebuyers who went over budget actually spent approximately $25,000 more than turnkey homebuyers, the survey found. Their total spending ended up being about $275,741. by W. J. Mencarow

https://papersourceonline.com/fixer-upper/

On average, people who purchased a move-in ready home spent about $250,496, while fixer-upper buyers within their budget ended up spending about $246,891 in total.

WASHINGTON (WalletHub) – Five North Texas cities have landed on WalletHub's list of the top ten best places to buy a hou...
08/27/2019
NewsTalk Texas - Real Estate Center

WASHINGTON (WalletHub) – Five North Texas cities have landed on WalletHub's list of the top ten best places to buy a house in the U.S.

Frisco took the number two spot, ranking first in affordability and economic environment and ninth in real estate market.

Denton, ranking fifth overall, was third in real estate and 41st in affordability. No. 6 McKinney followed closely behind, ranking second in affordability and 26th in real estate.

Carrollton, ranking seventh overall, was sixth in real estate and 21st in affordability.

Allen ranked ninth overall, sixth in affordability, and 13th in real estate. It also had the lowest foreclosure​ rate nationwide, according to the study.

"The relocation of companies to metro Dallas has brought new commercial and housing developments not only for families but also for single young professionals." said Real Estate Center Research Economist Dr. Luis Torres. "Also, the building of new schools and infrastructure increases attractiveness and quality of life."

Ranking 12th and 13th, respectively, Austin and Fort Worth were the top two large cities on the list.

Richardson also made an appearance on the list, rounding out the top 25.

"You will continue to see growth going forward at a lower rate since the market cannot maintain those high levels of growth forever," Torres said. "As long as it continues to be an attractive place to live, people will move to North Texas, but that also causes land prices and home price​s to go up, making the area less affordable for some people."

WalletHub evaluated 300 cities based on 23 relevant metrics to determine the rankings.

https://www.recenter.tamu.edu/news/newstalk-texas/?Item=22990

Real Estate Center at Texas A&M University, helping Texans make better real estate decisions.

Great news for McKinney, Sherman, Denison and surrounding cities!  A new 200,000- square-foot facility will be built at ...
08/27/2019
Raytheon announces new 200,000-square-foot facility in McKinney | Community Impact Newspaper

Great news for McKinney, Sherman, Denison and surrounding cities! A new 200,000- square-foot facility will be built at Raytheon’s Space and Airborne Systems headquarters in McKinney. The new facility, which is expected to be completed in late 2020, will support 500 new high-tech jobs, according to an Aug. 22 release. Raytheon is McKinney’s largest employer. The SAS headquarters has been in McKinney since 2013, Azevedo said at the announcement Aug. 22

https://communityimpact.com/dallas-fort-worth/mckinney/business/2019/08/22/raytheon-announces-new-200000-square-foot-facility-in-mckinney/

Aug 22, 2019: A new 200,000-square-foot facility will be built at Raytheon’s Space and Airborne Systems headquarters in McKinney. The new facility, which is expected to

08/21/2019

Dallas Fed: Texas economy continues strong growth

​​​​​​DALLAS (Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas) – Texas employment will grow 2.6​ percent this year, according to the Texas Employment Forecast by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.​

Based on the forecast, the state will add 331,100 jobs this year. Employment in December 2019 will reach 12.9 million.

This prediction comes after incorporating June 2019's annualized employment growth of 3.4 percent and a slight increase in the leading index.

"Despite continued declines in the energy sector, the Texas economy continues to grow at a strong pace,"​ said Keith R. Phillips, Dallas Fed assistant vice president and senior economist. "Growth in the construction, financial services, and leisure and hospitality sectors has been particularly robust, while the manufacturing sector has picked up from modest growth in the first five months of the year."

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